Five Model Y L deliveries in ten days. And three cancelled appointments in six.

For eleven weeks this was a story about delivery windows moving around. In the last ten days it became a story about cars. We can now count five Model Y L deliveries with a date attached: an order placed on July 2 collected in Phoenix on September 15; a July 2 order collected at the Knoxville delivery centre on September 21, which is the one we verified directly with the holder; a July 2 order picked up in Duluth, Georgia on September 22; another July 2 order collected at Kennesaw, Georgia on September 23; and one more on September 24 from an owner who did not say where. A sixth owner reported collecting theirs at Gigafactory Texas without giving a date.

Two things stand out in that list. The first is that every single one of them ordered on July 2 or, in the Phoenix case, the morning orders opened — eleven weeks from deposit to keys, and not one confirmed delivery yet belongs to an order placed after the opening week. The second is Georgia: two deliveries in two days, at two different centres, in a state where a holder asking that exact question on September 24 had not heard of a single one. The information is arriving slower than the cars.

In the same week, three holders reported confirmed delivery appointments being cancelled outright. One posted on September 19 that Tesla had cancelled the appointment and changed the delivery date. Another, the same day, had a 9 AM pickup in Austin cancelled by notification at 8:30 that morning — thirty minutes' warning — and was told the car was not off the production line yet. The third is an order we have tracked since August: a confirmed September 25 delivery, cancelled the day before it was due, replaced with an October 6–11 window. That holder has given us permission to say so.

A cancelled appointment is a different thing from a window moving, and it is worth separating them. A window is an estimate, and this page has spent two months documenting estimates sliding in both directions. An appointment is a date Tesla has committed to, usually with paperwork and insurance already arranged around it. The Austin holder had a time slot. Our own holder had arranged his week. Both were undone with less notice than a dentist requires.

One more report, from a single holder, that explains why that asymmetry stings. Their window had been December to January — which suited them, because their current lease runs to December. Then the window collapsed, a VIN landed, and Tesla offered a delivery slot days later. When they asked to push it back, they were told the car can be held for two weeks and no longer, or they forfeit it. That is one person's account of what they were told, not a policy we have seen written down, and it should be read that way.

But set it beside the cancellations and the shape is hard to miss. Tesla can move a confirmed date, apparently at any notice. The buyer gets two weeks. If you have been waiting since July for a car you expected in winter, a pull-forward is not automatically good news — it can arrive as a deadline you did not ask for, attached to a trade-in and a lease you have already planned around.

Our tracker holds thirty-nine orders and every delivery window each one has reported. Five of them carry a confirmed delivery date that has now come and gone with no outcome reported to us at all: three that were due September 21, and two due September 24. That is not evidence those deliveries failed — people take delivery and get on with their lives rather than filing an update — but it does mean the honest state of a confirmed date, a few days after it passes, is very often simply unknown.

So we changed how the page says it. A confirmed date now expires on its own: the day after it passes, the row stops claiming a confirmed delivery and starts saying the appointment was set and its outcome is unreported. We would rather show you a smaller, duller claim that is true than a confident one that has quietly stopped being true. Two of those five had been sitting on this page as confirmed for three days before we noticed.

Four confirmed appointments sit in the next six days: September 26 at the Gigafactory Texas delivery centre, September 27 in Oregon, September 29 in New Jersey, and September 30 in Georgia. Dallas-area holders report being offered an Austin pickup this week or a Dallas handover in November or December, which is worth knowing if you are choosing between a near date at a far centre and a far date close to home. And the October window that replaced our cancelled September 25 is the one we will be watching hardest, because it is the first order on this record to have a confirmed date taken away from it.

If you have a Model Y L on order, the most useful thing you can do for the next person shopping is tell us what your app says when it changes — including when a date you had been given disappears.

Delivery windows come from holder reports submitted directly to this platform and reviewed before publication, with every prior window preserved — the tracker on our Model Y L page shows the full movement history for all thirty-nine orders. The September 21 Knoxville delivery was verified by direct exchange with the holder, including an app screenshot matching the window; the region and pickup location are published with their written consent.

The other four dated deliveries, the three cancelled appointments, the two-week hold account and the Dallas pickup reports are first-person posts by order holders in public owner communities, read directly. They are claims, not facts we verified, and are attributed that way throughout. Usernames are never republished. The September 24 cancellation is published with that holder's explicit written permission, given in answer to a direct ask.

Three cancellations inside six days is a pattern, not a rate: these are self-selected posts with no denominator, so we publish no percentage and no count of how often it happens. The five confirmed dates that passed without an outcome are counted from our own tracker and mean exactly that — no outcome was reported to us, which is not the same as a delivery failing.